China's economy will likely expand by over 5 percent in the first half of this year amid strong policy stimulus, robust industrial production and stable external demand, providing a solid base for achieving its annual growth target of around 5 percent, economists said on Monday.
經濟學家8日表示，在強有力的政策刺激、強勁的工業生產和穩定的外部需求推動下，今年上半年中國經濟增速或超過5%，為實現5%左右的全年增長目標奠定了堅實基礎。
Looking into the second half of the year, they said the economy is on track for stable growth thanks to the strong manufacturing performance, resilience in exports and stepped-up macroeconomic policy support.
展望今年下半年，專家們表示，得益于強勁的制造業表現、出口的韌性和宏觀經濟政策進一步發力，經濟正穩步增長。
"China's economy has made a good start at the beginning of the year and the economy has continued the recovery trend in the first half of 2024," said Wen Bin, chief economist at China Minsheng Bank. "China's economy will likely grow by around 5.2 percent in the first half, followed by a 4.9 percent growth in the third quarter and a 5.1 percent increase in the fourth quarter."
中國民生銀行首席經濟學家溫彬表示：“上半年，中國經濟回升向好，一季度實現良好開局。預計上半年GDP同比增長5.2%左右，預計三季度GDP同比增長4.9%，四季度為5.1%。”
His remarks came as the market is eagerly awaiting the release of key economic indicators by the National Bureau of Statistics on July 15.
在溫彬發表此番觀點之際，國家統計局將于7月15日發布主要經濟數據。
China has already announced a series of measures to boost demand, including the issuance of 1 trillion yuan ($138 billion) worth of ultra-long-term special treasury bonds this year as well as driving large-scale equipment renewal and trade-in deals for consumer goods.
中國已經宣布了一系列提振需求的措施，包括今年發行1萬億元超長期特別國債，以及推動大規模設備更新和消費品以舊換新行動。
"With the gradual stabilization of the endogenous driving force, China's economy will continue the recovery trend," said Li Chao, chief economist at Zheshang Securities. "The country's economic growth rate will likely reach 5.1 percent this year, meeting the annual growth target."
浙商證券首席經濟學家李超表示：“隨著內生動力的逐步穩定，中國經濟將持續回升向好。中國今年的經濟增速可能達到5.1%，實現年度增長目標。”
Li's views were echoed by Xiong Yuan, chief economist at Guosheng Securities, who said the second-quarter GDP growth rate will likely be around 5 percent.
國盛證券首席經濟學家熊園持相同觀點。他預計二季度GDP增長可能在5%左右。
"The policy focus is shifting to stabilizing the housing market, boosting demand and advancing reforms," he said.
他表示：“政策重點正在轉向穩定房地產市場、提振需求和推進改革。”
英文來源：中國日報
編輯：董靜
審校：萬月英 陳丹妮
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